Projection of population growth of Wukari Local Government, Taraba State, using three mathematical population models
Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Federal University, Wukari, P.M.B. 1020 Katsina-Ala Road, Wukari, Taraba State, Nigeria.
Research Article
Open Access Research Journal of Science and Technology, 2022, 04(01), 038–045.
Article DOI: 10.53022/oarjst.2022.4.1.0057
Publication history:
Received on 17 November 2021; revised on 19 January 2022; accepted on 21 January 2022
Abstract:
Government usually spend huge amount of money when embarking on census in other to know the population of the people living in a community. Also, despite the huge amount of money government invest on census; some of the areas are not captured. This study is aimed at the use of Mathematical models to project the future population of Wukari Local Government Area which will determine how government can embark on conducting census at a reduced or minimized cost. Data were collected form the Statistical Year Book of Taraba State. The data spanned from 2006 to 2016. The following models; Malthusian model; Arithmetic and Geometric model were used in the projection of the population of Wukari Local Government Area from 2016 to 2040. The results show that Malthusian model has minimum error compared to the Arithmetic and Geometric models.
Keywords:
Population; Census; Mathematical model; Government; Projection
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